Abstract
Background: Liver transplant is frequently performed at night due to the unpredictability of organ procurement and reduction of Cold Ischemia Time (CIT). Previous study reported a doubled mortality Hazard Ratio (HR) of early death and increased postoperative complications in nighttime liver transplant. This study aims to evaluate the impact of nighttime operation on patients’ survival and postoperative complications by using meta-analysis.
Methods: We performed a systematic review of the PubMed database and identified five eligible studies. Three time points (30 days, 90 days and 1 year) were explored in patients’ survival by using pooled HR. Four types of postoperative complications (vascular, biliary tract, wound and primary graft non-function) were investigated by using pooled Odds Ratio (OR). Publication bias was also performed.
Results: Our study results were contradicting with the previous report and yielded no significant difference with a HR=0.98 (95% CI=0.89-1.06) on 30 days, HR=1.12 (95% CI=0.89-1.35) on 90 days and HR=1.07 (95% CI=0.95-1.18) on 1 year in nighttime procedure. Consistent with the result of patients’ survival, no significant result was found in postoperative complications evaluation as well. None of the four complications demonstrated significant result. And we failed to detect any significant publication bias.
Conclusions: Based on current evidence, nighttime liver transplantations do not degrade patients’ survival or increase postoperative complications risk compared with daytime operations.
Keywords: Nighttime operation; Liver transplant; Meta-analysis
Introduction
Sleep deprivation and fatigue have long been accepted as a potential risk factor in surgical practice with various attempts trying to assess its effects on the outcomes of patients’ safety. Lack of sleep may lead to changed attention concentration, impaired decision making capability, and the likelihood of mistakes [1]. It has been reported nighttime operation was significantly associated with higher surgical morbidity and mortality in many different studies [2,3].
Liver Transplant (LT) has emerged in recent decades as a critical surgical option for patients with end stage liver disease, such as Acute Hepatic Failure (AHF), Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC), long-term untreated viral hepatitis and so on. Different from other surgical procedures, time of obtaining donation consent and retrieval of the organ are unpredictable and beyond the control of the surgical team. Furthermore, prolonged Cold Ischemia (CIT) has been pointed as an independent risk factor of graft failure. Any delay in the surgical intervention would increase cold ischemia time, thus increasing the risk of postoperative complications and risk of transplant failure [4]. All these factors make nighttime operation a regular procedure in liver transplant.
Liver transplant is a highly technical demanding operation and requires high quality surgical performance to ensure its success. With the help of standardized anesthetic, postoperative intensive care procedure and advanced immunosuppressive therapies, the incidence of non-surgery-related causes of graft failure have been dramatically reduced [5]. Therefore, different studies have explored the risk of sleep deprivation and fatigue on surgery performance in liver transplant by using different comparison patterns including weekday VS weekends, daytime VS nighttime and solitary VS consecutive transplantations [6-13].
Prior publication has summarized the risk of nighttime in liver transplantation with only narrative description of two studies [14]. The aim of this investigation was to systemically analysis the risk of nighttime procedure by selecting all related studies in order to provide comprehensive evidence about nighttime procedure risk.
Materials and Methods
This study was conducted in accordance to in accordance PRISMA (Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses) Guidelines [15].
Data sources
We systematically searched PubMed database for relevant studies up to March 2021. The search key words combination of (surgeon fatigue or sleep deprivation or night time operation or nighttime operation or nighttime procedure or at night) and (liver operation or liver transplant or liver transplantation) were used. Furthermore, relevant references within the included studies were also evaluated to exclude any missing publications.
Study selection
The searched studies were evaluated based on the following criteria: (1) study that focused on comparing nighttime with daytime, other comparison design such as weekday with weekend was excluded (2) the operation type was restricted to liver transplantation and (3) the study design was retrospective cohort study. As for language restrictions, we limited the studies to those reported in English. The selection was conducted by two independent reviewers and consensus was achieved on eligible studies.
Data extraction
The data of the included studies was extracted. For each study, the following data was collected; first author, country where the study was performed, publication year and time category. Operative information was also collected into three parts including clinical characteristics of recipients, operative characteristics and donor characteristics.
Clinical characteristics of recipients include number of recipients, age, gender, Body Mass Index (BMI), the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) and different cause percentage of indications. Operative characteristics consist of total time (h), cold ischemia time (h) and warm ischemia time (min). Donor characteristics comprised age, gender, BMI, percentage of donation after cardiac death (DCD %) and Donor Risk Index (DRI).
Analyzed outcomes
The outcomes investigated in this study were patients’ survival and postoperative complications. Based on the data provided in the included studies, four time points in patients’ survival were calculated, which were 7 days, 30 days, 90days and 1 year. Postoperative complications were collected from four categories which were vascular, biliary tract, wound and Primary Graft Non-Function (PNF). We pooled Hazard Risk (HR) and related 95% Confidence Intervals (CI) for patients’ survival, Odds Ratio (OR) and related 95% CI for postoperative complications. In some studies which HR and 95% CI was not directly provided, we collected the Kaplan-Meier curve in the publication and calculated the relevant HR and 95% CI by using Engauge Digitizer version 4.1 and the practical methods for incorporating summary time-to-event data into meta-analysis [16].
Statistical analyses
Statistical analyses were performed by using STATA 12.0. Hazard Risk (HR) for patients’ survival, odds ratio (OR) for postoperative complications were performed respectively. Heterogeneity was assessed with a Χ² or I² test. Null heterogeneity between studies was defined when I²<40%; then we used a fixed effect model to calculate the ratio; otherwise a random effect model was applied. Additionally, publication bias was examined by Begg’s and Egger’s tests. If p value was <0.05, publication bias was statistically significant; otherwise, it was considered no publication bias.
Results
Patients’ characteristics of the included studies
The process of study selection was shown in Figure 1. The initial research retrieved 117 records. After the removal of duplicates and reading the abstract, 22 publications were left. Then, full text was assessed to identify the eligible studies. At last, 6 studies met all the criteria and were included [9-13,17].
Figure 1: The flow chart of the selection of eligible studies.
Among them, three studies were performed in the USA, two studies were in the Europe and one study was conducted in China. The result of three studies was from single-center investigations [9,11,17]. The other three studies were multi-center results by using either the United Network for Organ Sharing database (UNOS) in the USA or the UK Transplant Registry database [10,12,13]. The detailed overview of each study was in Table 1.
Ref
First author
Country
YearTime category
Clinical characteristics of recipients
Operative characteristics
Donor characteristics
Number
Of recipientsage
BMI
MELD
Male (%)
Indication (%)
Total time (h)
Cold ischemia time (h)
Warm ischemia time (min)
age
Male (%)
BMI
DCD (%)
DRI
HCC
ALF
Viral hepatitis
PBC/PSC/SSC
AIH
NASH/
cryptogenicPLD
Alcoholic cirrhosis
others
11
Lonze BE, et al.
USA.
2010Day time:
7 AM-7 PM388
50.7±9.6
27.4±5.1
20.6±8.4
69.9
-
-
45.1
-
-
-
-
19.1
-
9.1±3.3
9.3±2.3
-
45.7±18.9
-
25.4±4.8
5.7
1.6±0.5
Night time:
7 PM-7 AM190
52.3±9.2
27.2±5.1
21.0±8.1
63.2
-
-
42.1
-
-
-
-
17.4
-
9.6±4.2
9.1±2.2
-
44.0±17.2
-
25.0±4.4
6.8
1.7±0.5
12
Orman ES, et al.
USA
2012Daytime:
7 AM-7 PM51543
50.7±11
-
21.2±10
64
-
6
34
-
-
11
14
36
-
8 (6-10.5)
46 (36-60)
38.3±17
60
-
2
-
Night time:
7 PM-7 AM31143
51.1±11
-
21.3±9
64
-
7
33
-
-
11
-
13
36
-
7 (5.2-9.4)
45 (35-60)
38.1±17
61
-
4
-
9
Becker F, et al.
Germany
2019Daytime:
6 AM-8 PM154
51.3±12.1
25.7 (22.8-29.4)
22.1±12.4
63
20.8
12.3
14.3
10.4
-
-
4.5
14.3
23.4
-
10.1±2.6
40.6±9.3
49.4±14.7
53.9
25
(23.7-27.7)-
1.728 ± 0.368
Night time:
8 PM-6 AM196
53.3±11.0
25.4 (22.9-29.5)
22.3±12.2
65.3
25.5
13.2
12.8
10.7
-
-
2
18.4
17.4
-
10.0±2.6
41.2±9.4
54.5±14.7
57.1
25.7
(23.7-28.9)-
1.820 ± 0.340
13
Thuluvath PJ, et al.
USA
2019Daytime:
6 AM-8 PM41546
52.2±10.9
28.4±5.9
24.6±9.9
61.8
-
-
34.5
10.9
3.4
16.1
-
17.6
17.5
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1.82±0.45
Night time:
8 PM-6 AM4434
52.5±10.6
28.5±5.9
25.0±9.8
63
-
-
34.9
9.3
3.3
18.1
-
17..7
16.7
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
1.80±0.43
10
Halliday N, et al.
UK
2019Daytime:
7 AM-7 PM2715
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Night time:
7 PM-7 AM6101
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
17
Sheng-Sheng Ren, et al.
China
2019Daytime:
8 AM-2 PM102
47.85±10.35
23.31±2.96
-
87.3
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
8.26±1.69
7.21±3.93
-
36.86±15.87
Night time:
8 PM-2 AM45
49.13±8.14
22.92±2.91
-
84.4
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
8.90±1.65
9.35±5.03
-
37.76±12.28
BMI=Body Mass Index; MELD: The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease; HCC: Hepatocellular Carcinoma; ALF: Acute Liver Failure; PBC: Primary Biliary Cholangitis; PSC: Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis; SSC: Secondary Sclerosing Cholangitis; AIH: Autoimmune Hepatitis; NASH: Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis; PLD: Polycystic Liver Disease; DCD: Donation after Cardiac Death; DRI: Donor Risk Index.
Table 1: Characteristics of the included studies.
Impact of nighttime liver transplantation on patients’ survival
Based on the data provided in each study, we selected three time points to assess patients’ survival, including 30 days, 90 days and 1 year. Previous study by B. E. Lonze and his colleges reported a doubled risk increase of early death (HR=2.8; 95% CI=1.2-7.0; P = 0.023) in nighttime liver transplant [11]. In contrast, our study failed to find any survival difference between night time and daytime operations within 30 days HR=0.98 (95% CI=0.89-1.06). The forest plot was shown in Figure 2.
Figure 2: The forest plot of patients’ survival on 30 days.
Similarly, in the result of 90 days, four studies were included and there was no significant difference was found HR=1.12 (95% CI=0.89-1.35) as shown in Figure 3. Similar outcome was also found in the result of 1 year survival chance (HR=1.07 (95% CI=0.95-1.18, Figure 3). All the results were illustrated in Table 2.
Patient survival
No. of studies
HR (95% CI)
Test for heterogeneity
Model
X2
P
I2 (%)
30 days
5
0.98 (0.89-1.06)
2.9
0.58
0.00%
F
90 days
4
1.12 (0.89-1.35)
7.55
0.06
60.20%
R
1 year
5
1.07 (0.95-1.18)
8.92
0.06
55.20%
R
HR: Hazard Ratio, CI: Confidence Intervals.
Table 2: Summary of patients’ survival.
Figure 3: The forest plot of patients’ survival on 90 days.
Figure 4: The forest plot of patients’ survival on 1 year.
Impact of nighttime liver transplantation on postoperative complications
The postoperative complications analyses were also described. In this investigation, we included four types of postoperative complications and relevant Odds Ratios (OR) were calculated.
Vascular complications included thrombosis and stenosis in hepatic artery and portal vein [18]. Three studies were included and the calculated OR showed no increase in the risk of nighttime operations (OR=1.13, 95% CI= 0.92-1.39, Table 3).
Complications
No. of studies
Test for association
Test for heterogeneity
Model
OR (95% CI)
Z
P
X2
P
I2 (%)
Vascular
4
1.13 (0.92-1.39)
1.17
0.24
3.55
0.32
15.70%
F
Biliary tract
4
1.00 (0.80-1.25)
0
0.99
0.89
0.83
0.00%
F
Wound
3
0.92 (0.62-1.36)
0.42
0.68
1.65
0.44
0.00%
F
PNF
3
1.13 (0.92-1.37)
1.24
0.21
1.31
0.52
0.00%
F
OR: Odds Ratio, CI: Confidence Intervals, PNF: Primary Graft Non-Function
Table 3: Summary of postoperative complications.
Biliary tract complication is the most common complication in liver transplant [19]. There was no difference in biliary tract complication rates at night when three studies were analyzed together (OR=1.00, 95% CI= 0.80-1.25, Table 3).
Publications bias
This investigation also assessed the publication bias by using Begg’s funnelplots and Egger’s test. Because of limited number in postoperative complication, publication bias was only conducted in patients’ survival. All three time points were evaluated and none of the result was found to be significant. The detailed results were shown in Table 4.
Items
Begg’s test
Egger’s test
30 days
0.6
0.5
90 days
0.5
0.95
1 year
0.62
0.87
Table 4: The forest plot of patients’ survival on 1 year.
Discussion
Over the past decade, a drive to identify and reduce the potential surgical interventions risk carried out at night has been initiated, as well as a drive to reduce the workload of surgeons. Many studies have shown that patients who had surgical procedures outside regular working hours have worse outcomes, such as myocardial infarction, pulmonary embolism and gastrointestinal bleeding [20- 22]. Therefore, most complex surgical procedures are done electively except for emergency surgical procedures. Even so, complication rate has been reported to be significantly higher with nighttime operation such as colorectal, laparoscopic surgeries [23,24].
Liver transplantation was usually defined as semi-elective surgery, because the time to start the transplant was depended on various factors, such as organ retrieval and procurement, the availability of experienced anesthetist, and the recipient status [25]. The impact of nighttime or weekend surgeries on liver transplantation had been previously examined with conflicting results. For instance, Lonze et al.’s study reported a doubled risk increase (HR=2.8; 95% CI=1.2-7.0; P=0.023) in early death when the liver transplant was performed at night [11]. Conversely, Halliday N. et al. found a possible reduction in the hazard ratio of early graft failure and long-term transplant failure associated with weekend transplant [180]). In the latest study conducted in China mainland, researchers reported more intraoperative complications and blood loss in nighttime transplantation patients [17]. This discordant result urged us to systematically assess the risk of nighttime operation in liver transplantation.
In this investigation, six studies were included and a total number of 138,557 patients were included to analysis the association. According to our study, the outcomes of liver transplant surgeries were not affected whether they were performed at nighttime or daytime. We also investigated the effect of nighttime operation on postoperative complication and failed to detect any significant result. To our best knowledge, this is the first meta-analysis of the available evidence comparing the outcome of the liver transplantation in nighttime and daytime. These results reassured us the confidence of safety regardless of the time to perform surgery.
In term of the significant result reported, one possible explanation for this discrepancy would be they were from single-center reports with limited center experience and center volume [11,17]. In contrast, large studies using United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) database or the UK Transplant Registry Database showed that patient survival after liver transplantation was not influenced by nighttime surgery [10,12,13]. In other organ transplants, such thoracic organ, studies based on UNOS also demonstrated no difference between nighttime and daytime procedure on the results of patients’ survival [26].
Moreover, Lonze’s result was based the transplantation cases collected from 1995 to 2008, new surgical techniques and antirejection therapies have been developed which to some extent could narrow the possible gap between daytime and nighttime operation [11]. In nowadays, standardized anesthetic, postoperative intensive care procedure and advanced immunosuppressive therapies also reduced the potential risk of nighttime operation and have made liver transplantation surgery safely to perform throughout the year. Our investigation with 6 studies included provided a strong evidence to assure this conclusion compared with the previous systematic review [14].
Nevertheless, the influence of sleep deprivation and fatigue is of no doubt. In police officers, night shift work was associated with a higher injury risk [27]. For driving, the effects of fatigue are comparable to alcohol intake [28]. However, in nighttime surgery, especially in liver transplantation, the situation was much more sophisticated. During nighttime procedures, senior surgeons would perform the procedure himself rather than training young surgeons and extract carefulness would be expected due to the late operation start time. Furthermore, overnight procedure allows more concentration and less distraction from outside environment [29]. These might be the possible explanations why some studies found less technical failure off regular work time [10,30].
After thorough consideration, it is not difficult to argue that the core for this issue is not the time point itself but the availability of adequately trained, fully physiological prepared surgeons and support team during nighttime procedure. Although the seniority of transplantation team (surgeons, anesthesiologists, nurses and intensive care staff) could not be quantitatively collected, many studies emphasized the importance of highly experienced transplant team and specialized over-night on call schedule [17,9,10,12,13]. Too much workload within a short period of time would definitely degrade operation quality and increase the postoperative complication risk. On the contrary, highly experienced and well prepared transplant team would guarantee patient safety regardless of the operation start time. So, it is crucial for a liver transplant center to establish solid patient safety mechanisms to ensure the transplant quality remain continuously consistent.
There are also some limitations in this study. First, different defining time stratification schemes were applied in selected studies. The characteristics of the included patients and operations were also different among studies. Secondly, the number of included studies was limited and all of them were conducted in the USA and the Europe. We are looking forward to more similar high-quality studies in other transplant centers, such as Asian regions.
Conclusion
There was no evidence that nighttime liver transplantations would degrade patients’ survival or increase postoperative complications risk compared with daytime operations.
Declarations
Consent for publication
All authors agree on the submission of the manuscript.
Funding
There was a funding from Shenzhen Fund for Guangdong Provincial High-level Clinical Key Specialties (No.SZGSP010) for this study.
Acknowledgement
We would like to express our gratitude to Prof. Han Bao from Department of statistics, Harbin Medical University for her kindly help in the methodology of the manuscript.
Conflict of Interest
This manuscript is a previously unpublished work and no other submission or publication will be made. All of the authors participated in the study and they have agreed to the content of the manuscript. Besides, each author certifies that he or she has no actual or potential commercial personal or any other associations within five years of the beginning the work that might pose a conflict of interest related to this work.
Highlights
• This meta-analysis explored the risk of nighttime operation on liver transplantation.
• Nighttime operation has no major impact on patients’ survival in liver transplant.
• Safety mechanism should be established to ensure nighttime operation quality.
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