Epidemiology of Pancreatic Cancer in Puerto Rico (1987- 2010): Incidence, Mortality and Survival

Research Article

Austin J Gastroenterol. 2016; 3(1): 1058.

Epidemiology of Pancreatic Cancer in Puerto Rico (1987- 2010): Incidence, Mortality and Survival

Castañeda-Ávila M¹, Cruz-Benítez A¹, Fuentes- PayÁn W¹, Maldonado-Albertorio A¹, Nieves- Ferrer L¹, Padró-Juarbe P¹, Soto-Abreu R¹, Pérez- Ríos N³, Torres-Cintrón CR³, Ortiz-Ortiz KJ³ and Ortiz Martinez AP1,2*

¹Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico

²Cancer Control and Population Sciences Program, University of Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico

³Puerto Rico Central Cancer Registry, University of Puerto Rico, Puerto Rico

*Corresponding author: Ana P Ortiz Martinez, Department of Biostatistics and Epidemiology, University of Puerto Rico, School of Public Health, Puerto Rico

Received: April 07, 2015; Accepted: April 01, 2016; Published: April 08, 2016

Abstract

Background & Objective: Pancreatic cancer is an uncommon type of cancer worldwide. Nonetheless, even with early diagnosis, mortality rates are high. This study aims to perform an epidemiologic profile of pancreatic cancer in Puerto Rico (PR) from 1987-2010.

Methods: Using data from the Puerto Rico Central Cancer Registry, agestandardized incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer in PR were compared with Hispanics, non-Hispanic Whites, and non-Hispanic Blacks in the United States of America (USA). Incidence and mortality trends of pancreatic cancer were estimated, and survival analyses were also performed.

Results: In 2005-2010, 5.8 per 100,000 persons were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in PR and mortality rates were similar. Pancreatic cancer was more frequent in men (6.5 per 100,000 men) than women (5.2 per 100,000 women), and in persons older than 65 years (32.0 per 100,000 persons). Moreover, the median survival for the people diagnosed with pancreatic cancer in PR during 2006-2007 was 4 months and at the end of the third year after diagnosis, only 13% of the patients survived. Incidence trends of pancreatic cancer showed an increase for men (APC=13.0%, p<0.05) from 2006 to 2010, but not for women (APC=-0.4, p>0.05). However, mortality trends showed a slight decrease for men (APC=-1.0%, p<0.05), but not for women (APC=1.4, p>0.05) in the period of 1987 to 2010. Meanwhile, Puerto Ricans in comparison to other racial/ethnic groups living in the USA showed a lower risk for being diagnosed and of dying from pancreatic cancer.

Conclusion: Our results highlight the need for additional research in pancreatic cancer, in order to have an impact in disease survival in PR.

Keywords: Incidence; Mortality; Pancreatic cancer; Epidemiology; Puerto Rico

Abbreviations

PR: Puerto Rico; PRCCR: PR Central Cancer Registry; USH: Hispanics; NHW: non-Hispanic Whites; NHB: non-Hispanic Blacks; USA: United States of America; APC: Annual Percent Change; SRR: Standardized Rate Ratios

Introduction

Pancreatic cancer has received limited attention, in comparison to other cancer types, due to its low incidence; however, it is a highly fatal malignancy. Globally, among any type of cancer, pancreatic cancer is placed in the twelfth position for incidence and the eighth for mortality [1]. Pancreatic cancer is more common in developed countries, where 55.0% of cases occur. In the United States of America (USA), it is the fourth most frequent cause of cancer death after lung, breast, prostate, and colorectal cancer [2]. The survival of patients with pancreatic cancer is low, with6% patients dying within 5 years of diagnosis because of cancer-related complications. It is expected that pancreatic cancer will occupy the second most common cause of cancer-related death in the USA by 2030 [2]. Although the specific reasons for the observed increase in the incidence of this disease are unknown, changes in the prevalence of risk factors associated with the development of pancreatic cancer could help explain its increment, especially given that effective screening strategies are still unavailable for pancreatic cancer [3].

In Puerto Rico (PR), pancreatic cancer is also a common cause of cancer-related death, being the sixth most common cause of death from cancer among men (3.9% of all deaths) and the fourth most common cause of death from cancer among women (5.3% of all deaths) during 2010 [4]. Pancreatic cancer is one of the leading cancer sites that generate labor productivity loss in Puerto Rico. The productivity loss in the labor market due to pancreatic cancer in Puerto Rico during 2004 was $1,701,248, which represents 2.65% of total cancer costs [5]. However, despite its public health burden; there are no recent detailed reports of the epidemiology of pancreatic cancer in PR. The aim of this study is to describe the incidence, mortality and survival from pancreatic cancer in PR, and thus, describe the burden of the disease in this population. In addition, comparisons are made with data from other racial/ethnic groups living in the USA. Results from this study can be useful for health education and health promotion, necessary for the creation of prevention programs and public policy that increase the awareness of pancreatic cancer in the Puerto Rican population.

Methods

Study design and study subjects

A secondary data analysis was conducted using the database of the PR Central Cancer Registry (PRCCR). This database was used to estimate the incidence, mortality, and survival of diagnosed pancreatic cancer cases (ICD-O-3: C25.0-C25.4, C25.7-C25.9) in PR during the period of 1987-2010. The study population consisted of all individuals residing in PR who were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer throughout the period of 1987-2010.

Statistical analysis

Incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer were analyzed by socio-demographic characteristics, specifically by age, sex and tumor stage. For most of the analysis, we included all diagnosed pancreas cases, including those found by death certificate only (DCO), except for the calculations of tumor stage since these cases do not have additional information regarding to the type of tumor diagnosed. Data also includes information with known and unknown ages. Rates were calculated per 100,000 persons and age-adjusted to the 2000 USA Standard Population (19 age groups - Census P25- 1130). Incidence rates were estimated using the PRCCR database, based on the pancreatic cancer cases that were diagnosed among residents from PR between January 1, 1987 and December 31, 2010. To calculate the variable of tumor stage we used the definitions different definitions depending on the year of diagnosis of the tumor. The SEER Summary Stage 1977 was used when for cases were diagnosed from 1987 to 2000, the SEER Summary Stage 2000, for the cases diagnosed from 2001 to 2003 and the Derived Summary Stage 2000 for cases diagnosed from 2004 to 2010. On the other hand, mortality rates were estimated using death certificates from the Demographic Registry of the Department of Health of PR, and the mortality case file from the Institute of Statistics of PR for the period of 1987-2010. Statistics were calculated using the SEER*Stat software version 8.1.5 [6,7]. In order to compare the incidence and mortality rates of pancreatic cancer of Puerto Ricans with other racial/ethnic groups (non-Hispanic Whites [NHW], non-Hispanic Blacks[NHB] and Hispanics [USH]) that live in the USA, rates were also calculated per 100,000 persons and age-adjusted to the 2000 USA Standard Population for the period 2006-2010. For this period, rates were stratified by sex. Finally, standardized rate ratios (SRR) using P Rage-adjusted rates as the reference, were calculated, in order to determine statistical differences between Puerto Ricans and the other racial/ethnic groups. These results were also stratified by sex.

Age-adjusted temporal trends of the incidence and mortality of pancreatic cancer in PR were also evaluated for the period of 1987- 2010. Estimation of time trends was performed overall and by sex. For this analysis, the annual percent change (APC) was calculated using the Join point Regression Program (Version 4.1.0), which identifies the number of change-points and calculates a p-value associated to that change [8]. This test allowed determining if an apparent change in trend was statistically significant [8]. Finally, the relative survival was defined as the ratio of the proportion of observed survivors (all causes of death) in a cohort of pancreatic cancer patients to the proportion of expected survivors in a comparable cohort of cancerfree individuals [9]. The cohort of pancreatic cancer patients for this analysis was cases diagnosed during 2006-2007. These cases were followed during 3 years in order to determine the proportion of cases that survived at the end of the period. STATA software (Version 11.2) was used to calculate the relative and median survival [9].

Results

Incidence and mortality rates

A total of 4,790 new cases were reported to during the study period (1987-2010), 52.4% were males and 69.8% were aged 65 years or older (Table 1). From 2006-2010, after excluding the cases reported by death certificates, 14.8% of the pancreatic cancer cases presented a localized tumor stage, 16.8% presented a regional tumor stage,30.2% presented a distal tumor stage, and 38.2% of patients had an unknown tumor stage (Table 1). Results for the incidence and mortality rates are presented in three periods: 1987-1995, 1996-2004 and 2005-2010 (Table 2). During the last period (2005-2010), 5.8 per 100,000 persons were diagnosed with pancreatic cancer (n=1,398 new cases). For the same period, the incidence of pancreatic cancer by sex was very similar (6.5 per 100,000 males vs. 5.2 per 100,000 females). Also, significant differences were observed by age group, with an elevated incidence among persons 65 years or older (32.0 per 100,000 persons 65 years or older, n=955 new cases) compared to those under 65 years (2.0 per 100,000 persons under 65 years, n=443 new cases). For mortality, a total of 4,757 deaths were reported to during the complete study period (1987-2010), 52.3% were males and 73.0% were for persons aged 65 years or older (Table 1). From 2005-2010, 5.6 per 100,000 persons of all ages died from pancreatic cancer (n=1,354 deaths). Mortality rates were similar in males and females (6.3 per 100,000 males vs. 5.0 per 100,000 females). In addition, mortality rates were also higher among people aged 65 years or more, (33.5 per 100,000 persons of 65 years or older, n=992 deaths) compared to those less than 65 years (1.6 per 100,000 persons, n=361) (Table 2).