Factors Associated with Human Immunodeficiency Virus First Line Treatment Failure in Zvishavane District, Zimbabwe, 2014

Research Article

Austin J HIV/AIDS Res. 2015;2(1): 1010.

Factors Associated with Human Immunodeficiency Virus First Line Treatment Failure in Zvishavane District, Zimbabwe, 2014

Matare T¹, Shambira G¹, Gombe NT¹, Tshimanga M¹, Bangure D¹*, Mungati M¹ and Chemhuru M²

1Department of Community Medicine, University of Zimbabwe, Zimbabwe

2Ministry of Health and Child Care, Zimbabwe

*Corresponding author: Donewell Bangure, Department of Community Medicine, University of Zimbabwe, Zimbabwe

Received: February 06, 2015; Accepted: February 24, 2015; Published: February 26, 2015

Abstract

Introduction: Globally, first line HIV treatment failure remains a challenge, particularly in resource constrained settings. Midlands Province 2013 data showed that Zvishavane district had the highest prevalence of first line treatment failure at 16% against a national average of 1%. First line ART failure comes with poor treatment outcomes. We conducted a study to determine factors associated with first line HIV treatment failure in Zvishavane district.

Methods: A 1:1 unmatched case control study was conducted. A case was an HIV positive patient who was on first line ART for >6 months in Zvishavane district and was switched to second line ART regimen because of treatment failure in 2013/2014. A control was an HIV patient in Zvishavane district who had been on first line ART for >6 months and had not failed first line ART. Pretested interviewer administered questionnaires were used to collect data from randomly selected participants. Logistic regression analysis was conducted.

Results: A total of 246 participants, 123 cases and 123 controls, were recruited. Independent risk factors were poor adherence (<80% adherence) to ART [AOR=5.14, 95%CI (2.75-9.62)], drug stock outs [AOR=3.02, 95%CI (1.20- 6.98)], baseline CD4 count of <50 cells/mm3 [AOR=3.25, 95%CI (1.47-7.16)] and baseline WHO Stage 3 or 4 [AOR=1.95, 95%CI (1.05-3.61)]. Drug stock outs were a significant determinant of poor ART adherence [OR=3.09, 95%CI (1.83-5.21)].

Conclusion: Low baseline CD4 count and WHO stage 3 or 4 at ART initiation is associated with treatment failure. Improving adherence and avoiding ART drug stock outs may reduce treatment failure.

Keywords: First line treatment failure; Zvishavane district

Introduction

Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) is a lentivirus that causes acquired immunodeficiency syndrome, a condition in humans in which progressive failure of the immune system allows life threatening opportunistic infections [1]. Globally 35.3 million (32.2 million-38.8 million) people were living with HIV at the end of 2013 [2]. Approximately, 0.8% of adults of adult aged 15-49 years worldwide are living with HIV, although the burden of the epidemic continues to vary considerably between countries and regions [2]. Sub-Saharan Africa remains most severely affected, with nearly 1 in every 20 adults living with HIV, and accounting for 70.8% of the people living with HIV worldwide [2]. Zimbabwe has experienced a decreasing trend in HIV prevalence from 26.7% in 2002 to 13.1 % in 2013 [3].

Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) treatment failure can be defined by clinical, immunologic or virologic measures. Virologically, HIV treatment failure is a repeated HIV Ribonucleic acid (HIV RNA) values above the lower limit of detection of a sensitive assay (usually 50 copies per mL) [4]. The World Health Organization (WHO) guidelines define treatment failure virologically as viral load persistently (at least 2 results) above 5000 copies/ml. This is despite the patient taking antiretroviral therapy regimen. The implication would be that the medication is no longer effective to suppress viral replication in a patient.

The success of antiretroviral treatment is defined more specifically by viral suppression [4]. Therefore the standard of care should be to maintain an RNA level of below the limit of detection (generally<50 copies/mL). Based on this specific criterion, HIV RNA levels that are >50 copies/mL mean that Antiretroviral Therapy (ART) regimen is failing to suppress viral load; hence the patient can be diagnosed with HIV treatment failure. Zimbabwe National Opportunistic Infections/ Antiretroviral Therapy (OI/ART) program does not routinely measure viral load in patients and uses clinical and immunological measures for patient monitoring and diagnosis [5].

Some measures which can be adopted to prevent or reduce HIV treatment failure include perfect adhering to ART. According to De Beaudrap P et al in 2013 in Senegal; if a patient fails first line ART, the risk of that patient failing subsequent ART or developing HIV DR significantly increases [6]. Detecting virologic failure and intervening appropriately reduces mortality from HIV infection. Furthermore, early detection of virologic failure is an important HIV treatment cost reduction mechanism. The reduction in cost can be realized, for instance, through avoiding second line drugs which are more expensive than first line drugs.

A systematic review of the epidemiology of ART failure on a global scale by Gereti AM et al in 2007 noted that reported prevalence surveys showed inter-region and intra-region variability in part because of methodological differences [7]. Despite this variability, a collaborative study and meta-analysis of global trends of ART treatment failure in 2012 by Gupta RK, et al found a significant increase in prevalence of treatment failure over time since ART rollout especially in regions of sub-Saharan Africa [8].

Hammers S, et al in 2008 conducted a study on six sub-Saharan African countries and determined 5.5% prevalence of HIV first line treatment failure [9]. A cross sectional study to determine the prevalence of HIV-1 treatment failure among reproductive aged women in Durban, Kwazulu Natal province, South Africa, was conducted by Horn S et al [10]. Of the 1073 valuable women, 37% (n=400) had HIV treatment failure.

Zimbabwe has experienced a decreasing trend in HIV prevalence from 26.7% in 2002 to 13.1% in 2013 [3]. While the prevalence of adult HIV is well documented; in contrary, the prevalence of HIV treatment failure is not well known at national level. In 2010, the National Drug and Therapeutics Advisory Committee (NDTAC) estimated that the percentage of patients who switched to HIV second line treatment was 1% [5]. As a proxy to HIV first line treatment failure; the 2009-2011 national HIV Drug resistance (HIV DR) survey reported an overall HIV DR prevalence of 6.3% [11].

Zvishavane district experienced an increasing trend of Sexually Transmitted Infections (STIs) cases from 66 per 1000 population in 2002 to 97 per 1000 population in 2005 [12]. According to the provincial health information STIs data, the district still records increasing trend of STIs and as of 2013, the rate is at 113 cases per 1000 population. In 2013 alone, the district recorded 4881 new STI cases, 35% (n=1721) of which were HIV positive cases.

According to the provincial health information, the district has the highest prevalence of HIV first line treatment failure. The district is one of the 12 sentinel sites for the surveillance of HIV-1 drug resistance in Zimbabwe [11]. An operational research, through genotyping, to determine the prevalence of HIV 1 drug resistance (HIV-1 DR) among all sentinel sites showed that the district had the highest prevalence of HIV-1 DR in Zimbabwe at 12.8% [11]. The district monitors HIV treatment failure using clinical and immunological measures [5]. However, it takes virologic measures irregularly.

Zvishavane district had the highest prevalence of HIV treatment failure at 16% (n=183). This is well above the regional prevalence of 5.5% [9]. According to the 2013 Zimbabwe HIV Drug Resistance Early Warning Indicators (EWIs) survey report, Zvishavane district was the least performer to EWI 1 on “on time pill pick up” [2]. Against a target of 90%, the district recorded 63% and 50% for adults and pediatrics respectively. While the district achieved 86%, which is above national target, on EWI 2 on retention in care, it fell short of national target on EWI 3 on pharmacy stock outs. Zvishavane is one of the 12 sentinel sites for monitoring HIV DR and recorded the highest prevalence of HIV DR at 12.7% [11]. We, therefore seek to find out possible factors which could be contributing to HIV first line treatment failure in Zvishavane district.

Materials

A 1:1 unmatched case control study was conducted on HIV positive patients who had received ART in Zvishavane district for a period of at least 6 months. A case was an HIV patient who was on first line ART for at least 6 months in Zvishavane district and switched to second line ART regimen because of treatment failure during the 2013/2014 period. A control was an HIV patient in Zvishavane district who was on first line ART, had been on first line ART for at least 6 months and had not failed first line ART. Patients’ files in health facilities in Zvishavane district and notes (cards) were reviewed in the study. Permission to conduct the study was obtained from the Provincial Medical Director (PMD), Midlands, Zvishavane District Medical Officer (DMO), Health Studies Office (HSO), Medical Research Council of Zimbabwe (MRCZ/B/702) and Joint Research Ethics Committee (JREC/199/14). Written informed consent was obtained from study participants. Consent of parents or legal guardians for those participants that could not legally consent (<18 years) was obtained. Confidentiality was maintained throughout the study. Participation was voluntary and there were no financial gains for participating in the study.

A total of 246 participants of all educational levels (none, primary, secondary and tertiary), 123 cases and 123 controls, was recruited into the study. Cases were randomly recruited from OI/ART register into the study using the lottery method. Names of participants were written on pieces of paper and blindly picked by the researcher until the required sample size was reached. A pre-tested interviewer administered, semi-structured questionnaire and checklists were used to collect data from cases and controls. Epi info version 5.3.1 was used for data analysis. Stratified analysis was done to control for confounding and effect modification. Forward stepwise logistic regression analysis was done to determine independent factors associated first line HIV treatment failure.

Results

Descriptive epidemiology

A total of 123 cases and 123 controls were recruited into the study. (Table 1) illustrates socio-demographic characteristics of study participants. Cases and controls were statistically comparable in terms of socio-demographic characteristics except on employment where cases were more likely to be unemployed.